Combat Edge Intelligence

Lito Adiwang vs Yrysbek Tilenov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lito Adiwang
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Lito Adiwang

“Thunder Kid”

18-6-0BantamweightONE

1654Good

Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'8"
65.4"Reach68"
134 lbsWeight134 lbs
Team LakayTeamIhlas

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lito AdiwangNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Yrysbek TilenovNow 1656
If they win+24→ 1680
If they lose-24→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lito AdiwangYrysbek Tilenov
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
4 (22%)
Submission
1 (13%)
4 (22%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Yrysbek Tilenov73%
Lito Adiwang 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yrysbek Tilenov a 73% favorite over Lito Adiwang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1656), separated by just 2 points.

Lito Adiwang enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Yrysbek Tilenov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Lito Adiwang finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Yrysbek Tilenov 75%.

Yrysbek Tilenov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.