Combat Edge Intelligence

Lone’er Kavanagh vs Namsrai Batbayar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record9-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'4"
67"Reach68"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamOne Team Fighting Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lone’er KavanaghNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Namsrai BatbayarNow 1671
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
49%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.58
57%
Strike defense
46%
1.12
Takedown avg.
2.15
45%
Takedown accuracy
25%
94%
Takedown defense
0%
0.22
Submission avg.
1.07

Trajectory

Lone’er KavanaghNamsrai Batbayar
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
1 (10%)
Submission
5 (56%)
5 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Lone’er Kavanagh60%
Namsrai Batbayar 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lone’er Kavanagh a 60% favorite over Namsrai Batbayar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Namsrai Batbayar's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1671), separated by just 1 points.

Namsrai Batbayar enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Lone’er Kavanagh finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Namsrai Batbayar 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.