Long Xiao vs Malcolm Wellmaker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-11-0Record10-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach71"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xin-Du Martial Arts ClubTeamFaglier's MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-12→ 1667
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Long XiaoMalcolm Wellmaker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Long Xiao and Malcolm Wellmaker within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1681), separated by just 2 points.
Long Xiao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Malcolm Wellmaker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Long Xiao finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Malcolm Wellmaker 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.