Combat Edge Intelligence

Louie Sutherland vs Neil Wain

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Neil Wain

Neil Wain

“Old Skool”

13-4-0HeavyweightM4TC

1597Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record13-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height5'10"
76"ReachTBD
266 lbsWeight242 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Louie SutherlandNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Neil WainNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1474 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
2.64
69%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.57
30%
Strike defense
43%
4.95
Takedown avg.
0
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Louie SutherlandNeil Wain
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
9 (69%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (8%)
3 (27%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Louie Sutherland59%
Neil Wain 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 59% favorite over Neil Wain in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1597), separated by just 8 points.

Louie Sutherland finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Neil Wain 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.