Combat Edge Intelligence

Louie Sutherland vs Roque Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record18-9-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height5'10"
76"Reach72,0"
266 lbsWeight239 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamSpike 22

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Louie SutherlandNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Roque MartinezNow 1606
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
69%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.90
30%
Strike defense
56%
4.95
Takedown avg.
0.38
43%
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
54%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Louie SutherlandRoque Martinez
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (22%)
3 (27%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Louie Sutherland60%
Roque Martinez 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 60% favorite over Roque Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roque Martinez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1606), separated by just 1 points.

Roque Martinez enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Louie Sutherland finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Roque Martinez 67%.

Louie Sutherland carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.