Combat Edge Intelligence

Louie Sutherland vs Todd Duffee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record9-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
76"Reach78,0"
266 lbsWeight241 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Louie SutherlandNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Todd DuffeeNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
5.93
69%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
30%
Strike defense
57%
4.95
Takedown avg.
0.72
43%
Takedown accuracy
25%
0%
Takedown defense
90%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Louie SutherlandTodd Duffee
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
9 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (27%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Louie Sutherland66%
Todd Duffee 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 66% favorite over Todd Duffee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1601), separated by just 4 points.

Todd Duffee enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Louie Sutherland finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Todd Duffee 100%.

Todd Duffee carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.