Combat Edge Intelligence

Louie Sutherland vs Tony Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record18-8-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
76"ReachTBD
266 lbsWeight265 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamNashville MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Louie SutherlandNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Tony JohnsonNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
2
69%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.73
30%
Strike defense
31%
4.95
Takedown avg.
2
43%
Takedown accuracy
22%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Louie SutherlandTony Johnson
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
3 (27%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Louie Sutherland66%
Tony Johnson 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 66% favorite over Tony Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1603), separated by just 2 points.

Tony Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Louie Sutherland finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tony Johnson 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.