Combat Edge Intelligence

Louie Sutherland vs Tsuyoshi Kosaka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record28-21-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
76"ReachTBD
266 lbsWeight214 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamAlliance-Square

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Louie SutherlandNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Tsuyoshi KosakaNow 1607
If they win+12→ 1619
If they lose-12→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
0.71
69%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
17.82
30%
Strike defense
54%
4.95
Takedown avg.
1.78
43%
Takedown accuracy
100%
0%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Louie SutherlandTsuyoshi Kosaka
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
9 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (25%)
3 (27%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Louie Sutherland62%
Tsuyoshi Kosaka 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 62% favorite over Tsuyoshi Kosaka in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tsuyoshi Kosaka's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1607), separated by just 2 points.

Louie Sutherland finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tsuyoshi Kosaka 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.