Luke Fernandez vs Tyson Pedro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record10-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
76"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Dante Rivera BJJTeamLions High Performance Centre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luke FernandezTyson Pedro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Fernandez51%
Tyson Pedro 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Fernandez a 51% favorite over Tyson Pedro in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tyson Pedro's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1614), separated by just 2 points.
Tyson Pedro enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Luke Fernandez finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Pedro 100%.
Tyson Pedro carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.