Combat Edge Intelligence

Lupita Godinez vs Marina Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record17-6-2
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'7"
61"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeamThai Brasil

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lupita GodinezNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Marina RodriguezNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.51
Sig. strikes / min
4.64
49%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
62%
Strike defense
56%
2.96
Takedown avg.
0.28
41%
Takedown accuracy
50%
82%
Takedown defense
63%
0.86
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Lupita GodinezMarina Rodriguez
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
2 (14%)
Submission
1 (6%)
11 (79%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Lupita Godinez66%
Marina Rodriguez 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Lupita Godinez a 66% favorite over Marina Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marina Rodriguez's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1675), separated by just 7 points.

Marina Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Lupita Godinez finishes 21% of wins inside the distance, Marina Rodriguez 47%.

Lupita Godinez and Marina Rodriguez share 3 common opponents: Jéssica Andrade, Mackenzie Dern and Virna Jandiroba.

Marina Rodriguez carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Jéssica Andrade
LossDecision - Split · 2024
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Virna Jandiroba
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Mackenzie Dern
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2021