Combat Edge Intelligence

Makhmud Muradov vs Mansur Abdul-Malik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-8-0Record9-1-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Ankos MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Makhmud MuradovNow 1712
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
Mansur Abdul-MalikNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
44%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
61%
Strike defense
46%
3.03
Takedown avg.
1.65
67%
Takedown accuracy
0%
78%
Takedown defense
83%
0.19
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Makhmud MuradovMansur Abdul-Malik
16001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

18 (64%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
3 (11%)
Submission
2 (22%)
7 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mansur Abdul-Malik71%
Makhmud Muradov 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mansur Abdul-Malik a 71% favorite over Makhmud Muradov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Makhmud Muradov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1712 vs 1710), separated by just 2 points.

Makhmud Muradov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Makhmud Muradov finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mansur Abdul-Malik 100%.

Mansur Abdul-Malik carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.