Combat Edge Intelligence

Marco Tulio vs Mike Shipman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marco Tulio
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Marco Tulio

“Matuto”

14-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1667Good

Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record16-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach73.5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marco TulioNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Mike ShipmanNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.69
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
59%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
1.42
Takedown avg.
TBD
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.35
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marco TulioMike Shipman
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
9 (56%)
1 (7%)
Submission
5 (31%)
3 (21%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Marco Tulio60%
Mike Shipman 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marco Tulio a 60% favorite over Mike Shipman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Shipman's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1668), separated by just 1 points.

Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marco Tulio finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Mike Shipman 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.