Marcus Aurelio vs Vinc Pichel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record14-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach72"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elite Mixed FightersTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1637
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcus AurelioVinc Pichel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vinc Pichel53%
Marcus Aurelio 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Vinc Pichel a 53% favorite over Marcus Aurelio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.
Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcus Aurelio finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Vinc Pichel 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.