Combat Edge Intelligence

Marilia Santos vs Veronica Hardy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record10-5-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'3"
TBDReach64"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Peso Pesado TeamTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marilia SantosNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
Veronica HardyNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.06
54%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
53%
Strike defense
50%
1
Takedown avg.
0.82
100%
Takedown accuracy
6%
67%
Takedown defense
52%
1
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Marilia SantosVeronica Hardy
15501600201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
3 (30%)
Submission
2 (20%)
5 (50%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Veronica Hardy55%
Marilia Santos 45%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Veronica Hardy a 55% favorite over Marilia Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marilia Santos's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1591), separated by just 5 points.

Marilia Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marilia Santos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Veronica Hardy 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.