Combat Edge Intelligence

Marion Reneau vs Pannie Kianzad

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marion Reneau
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Marion Reneau

“The Belizean Bruiser”

9-8-1BantamweightUFC

1569Solid

Tale of the tape

9-8-1Record16-9-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach 66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elite TeamTeamArte Suave Copenhagen

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marion ReneauNow 1569
If they win+17→ 1586
If they lose-15→ 1554
Pannie KianzadNow 1583
If they win+15→ 1598
If they lose-17→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.20
Sig. strikes / min
4.88
42%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
60%
Strike defense
51%
0.62
Takedown avg.
0.41
64%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
66%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Marion ReneauPannie Kianzad
15501600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
3 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Decision
13 (81%)

Combat Edge model read

Pannie Kianzad52%
Marion Reneau 48%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Pannie Kianzad a 52% favorite over Marion Reneau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1583), separated by just 14 points.

Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Pannie Kianzad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marion Reneau finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Pannie Kianzad 19%.

Marion Reneau and Pannie Kianzad share 3 common opponents: Macy Chiasson, Raquel Pennington and Bethe Correia.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Macy Chiasson
LossSubmission · 2024
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Raquel Pennington
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Draw Decision · 2017
Bethe Correia
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020