Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Choinski vs Ryan Couture

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
N/AReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
RoufusportTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark ChoinskiNow 1640
If they win+24→ 1664
If they lose-24→ 1616
Ryan CoutureNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
TBD
Strike accuracy
32%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
14.02
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.63
TBD
Takedown accuracy
8%
TBD
Takedown defense
47%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mark ChoinskiRyan Couture
155016001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
5 (63%)
Submission
6 (50%)
2 (25%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Choinski66%
Ryan Couture 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Choinski a 66% favorite over Ryan Couture in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1640), separated by just 0 points.

Mark Choinski finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Couture 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.