Marlon Vera vs Raphael Assunção
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-12-1Record28-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'5"
70"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team OyamaTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1749 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1700 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marlon VeraRaphael Assunção
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marlon Vera72%
Raphael Assunção 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marlon Vera a 72% favorite over Raphael Assunção in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1707), separated by just 3 points.
Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marlon Vera finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Assunção 50%.
Marlon Vera and Raphael Assunção share 3 common opponents: Cory Sandhagen, Rob Font and Davey Grant.
Marlon Vera carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.