Combat Edge Intelligence

Marvin Vettori vs Ryan Gandra

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Marvin Vettori
it

Marvin Vettori

“The Italian Dream”

19-10-1MiddleweightUFC

1688Good
Ryan Gandra
br

Ryan Gandra

“Problema”

10-1-0MiddleweightUFC

1688Good

Tale of the tape

19-10-1Record10-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFlavio Baiano Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marvin VettoriNow 1688
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
Ryan GandraNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1753 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.74
Sig. strikes / min
13.02
46%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.70
56%
Strike defense
81%
1.41
Takedown avg.
0
44%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
69%
Takedown defense
100%
0.39
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marvin VettoriRyan Gandra
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
9 (47%)
Submission
1 (10%)
8 (42%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Gandra78%
Marvin Vettori 22%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Gandra a 78% favorite over Marvin Vettori in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marvin Vettori's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1688), separated by just 0 points.

Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ryan Gandra enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Marvin Vettori finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gandra 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.