Combat Edge Intelligence

Mateus Mendonça vs Mridul Saikia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record9-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
TBDReach68.5"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamDojang MMA and Fitness Studio

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mateus MendonçaNow 1655
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Mridul SaikiaNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.66
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
30%
Strike defense
TBD
2.54
Takedown avg.
TBD
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
56%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.42
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mateus MendonçaMridul Saikia
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
5 (45%)
Submission
5 (56%)
3 (27%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mridul Saikia53%
Mateus Mendonça 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Mridul Saikia a 53% favorite over Mateus Mendonça in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mateus Mendonça's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1649), separated by just 6 points.

Mateus Mendonça finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Mridul Saikia 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.