Combat Edge Intelligence

Mateusz Rębecki vs Nasrat Haqparast

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-5-0Record18-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
66"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mateusz RębeckiNow 1727
If they win+12→ 1739
If they lose-12→ 1715
Nasrat HaqparastNow 1728
If they win+12→ 1740
If they lose-12→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.21
Sig. strikes / min
6.40
47%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.01
54%
Strike defense
63%
3.38
Takedown avg.
0.35
53%
Takedown accuracy
20%
50%
Takedown defense
85%
0.51
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mateusz RębeckiNasrat Haqparast
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
7 (35%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (20%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mateusz Rębecki and Nasrat Haqparast within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1727 vs 1728), separated by just 1 points.

Mateusz Rębecki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mateusz Rębecki finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.

Nasrat Haqparast carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.