Matt Brown vs Niko Price
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-19-0Record16-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Immortal Fight TeamTeamFutures MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1612
If they win+12→ 1635
If they lose-12→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt BrownNiko Price
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niko Price70%
Matt Brown 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Niko Price a 70% favorite over Matt Brown in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Brown's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.
Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Matt Brown finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.