Maurício Rua vs Oumar Sy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-14-1Record12-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
76"Reach83"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Universidade da LutaTeamBulgarian Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Maurício RuaOumar Sy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oumar Sy73%
Maurício Rua 27%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Oumar Sy a 73% favorite over Maurício Rua in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1697), separated by just 6 points.
Maurício Rua enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Maurício Rua finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Oumar Sy 75%.
Oumar Sy carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.