Combat Edge Intelligence

Melissa Croden vs Nora Cornolle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record9-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
69"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
Raven House MMATeamTeam Cornolle

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Melissa CrodenNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Nora CornolleNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.10
Sig. strikes / min
2.75
49%
Strike accuracy
55%
1.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.98
53%
Strike defense
58%
1.02
Takedown avg.
0.25
50%
Takedown accuracy
11%
67%
Takedown defense
47%
0
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Melissa CrodenNora Cornolle
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
1 (13%)
Submission
2 (22%)
1 (13%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Croden59%
Nora Cornolle 41%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Croden a 59% favorite over Nora Cornolle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nora Cornolle's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1631), separated by just 8 points.

Nora Cornolle enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Melissa Croden finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Nora Cornolle 89%.

Melissa Croden and Nora Cornolle share 1 common opponent: Jacqueline Cavalcanti.

Melissa Croden carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2023
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
LossDecision (split) · 2024