Michael Aswell Jr. vs Poppies Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record29-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamThrive MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
If they win+12→ 1640
If they lose-12→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael Aswell Jr.Poppies Martinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Aswell Jr.71%
Poppies Martinez 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Aswell Jr. a 71% favorite over Poppies Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1628), separated by just 2 points.
Michael Aswell Jr. enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Poppies Martinez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Michael Aswell Jr. finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Poppies Martinez 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.