Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Aswell Jr. vs Yibugele

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Yibugele
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Yibugele

“Eagle”

24-13-1FeatherweightRUFC

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record24-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamHaosheng Fight Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael Aswell Jr.Now 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
YibugeleNow 1627
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.79
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
7.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0.32
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
57%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Michael Aswell Jr.Yibugele
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
11 (46%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (8%)
5 (45%)
Decision
11 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Aswell Jr.67%
Yibugele 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Aswell Jr. a 67% favorite over Yibugele in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1627), separated by just 3 points.

Michael Aswell Jr. enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael Aswell Jr. finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Yibugele 54%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.