Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Aswell Jr. vs Yuta Sasaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Yuta Sasaki
jp

Yuta Sasaki

“Ulka”

24-10-2FeatherweightRFF

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record24-10-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"Reach71,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael Aswell Jr.Now 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Yuta SasakiNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.79
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
43%
Strike accuracy
41%
7.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
52%
Strike defense
50%
0.32
Takedown avg.
3.03
100%
Takedown accuracy
43%
57%
Takedown defense
41%
0
Submission avg.
1.16

Trajectory

Michael Aswell Jr.Yuta Sasaki
1650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
2 (8%)
0 (0%)
Submission
12 (50%)
5 (45%)
Decision
10 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Aswell Jr.66%
Yuta Sasaki 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Aswell Jr. a 66% favorite over Yuta Sasaki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yuta Sasaki's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.

Michael Aswell Jr. enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael Aswell Jr. finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Yuta Sasaki 58%.

Yuta Sasaki carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.