Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Bisping vs Robert Whittaker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-9-0Record26-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75″Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
HB UltimateTeamPMA Super Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael BispingNow 1741
If they win+12→ 1753
If they lose-12→ 1729
Robert WhittakerNow 1739
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.33
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
38%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
65%
Strike defense
60%
1.05
Takedown avg.
0.73
43%
Takedown accuracy
38%
63%
Takedown defense
82%
0.32
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michael BispingRobert Whittaker
170017502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

18 (60%)
KO/TKO
10 (38%)
2 (7%)
Submission
5 (19%)
10 (33%)
Decision
11 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Whittaker67%
Michael Bisping 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Whittaker a 67% favorite over Michael Bisping in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michael Bisping's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1741 vs 1739), separated by just 2 points.

Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Robert Whittaker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael Bisping finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 58%.

Michael Bisping and Robert Whittaker share 1 common opponent: Kelvin Gastelum.

Michael Bisping carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2017
Kelvin Gastelum
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021