Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Chandler vs Norman Parke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Norman Parke

Norman Parke

“Stormin”

32-7-1Light HeavyweightFAME

1737Good

Tale of the tape

23-11-0Record32-7-1
LightweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"Reach40,0"
156 lbsWeight200 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamNext Generation NI

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael ChandlerNow 1732
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1720
Norman ParkeNow 1737
If they win+12→ 1749
If they lose-12→ 1725

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1772 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.04
Sig. strikes / min
3.06
50%
Strike accuracy
35%
4.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.88
43%
Strike defense
65%
1.96
Takedown avg.
1.98
41%
Takedown accuracy
27%
62%
Takedown defense
78%
0.56
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michael ChandlerNorman Parke
17502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
5 (16%)
7 (30%)
Submission
12 (38%)
5 (22%)
Decision
15 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Chandler52%
Norman Parke 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Chandler a 52% favorite over Norman Parke in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Norman Parke's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1737), separated by just 5 points.

Michael Chandler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Norman Parke enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Michael Chandler finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Norman Parke 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.