Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Chandler vs Paul Felder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Paul Felder
us

Paul Felder

“The Irish Dragon”

17-6-0LightweightUFC

1734Good

Tale of the tape

23-11-0Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"Reach70,5"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamRoufusport

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael ChandlerNow 1732
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1720
Paul FelderNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1772 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.04
Sig. strikes / min
3.70
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
43%
Strike defense
49%
1.96
Takedown avg.
0.29
41%
Takedown accuracy
29%
62%
Takedown defense
65%
0.56
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Michael ChandlerPaul Felder
1750201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
10 (59%)
7 (30%)
Submission
1 (6%)
5 (22%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Chandler60%
Paul Felder 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Chandler a 60% favorite over Paul Felder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Felder's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1734), separated by just 2 points.

Michael Chandler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Paul Felder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael Chandler finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Paul Felder 65%.

Michael Chandler and Paul Felder share 2 common opponents: Charles Oliveira and Dan Hooker.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinTKO · 2021
Dan Hooker
LossDecision (split) · 2020
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
LossTKO · 2021
Charles Oliveira
WinKO/TKO · 2017