Combat Edge Intelligence

Michael Oliveira vs Sergey Khandozhko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record27-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
78"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
KO Squad MMATeamIndustrials

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michael OliveiraNow 1695
If they win+24→ 1719
If they lose-24→ 1671
Sergey KhandozhkoNow 1694
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

8.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
51%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.37
66%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
0.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
100%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michael OliveiraSergey Khandozhko
160016501700202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
11 (42%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (27%)
1 (11%)
Decision
8 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Oliveira70%
Sergey Khandozhko 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Oliveira a 70% favorite over Sergey Khandozhko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1694), separated by just 1 points.

Michael Oliveira enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Michael Oliveira finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Khandozhko 69%.

Michael Oliveira carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.