Michael Oliveira vs Siyar Bahadurzada
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record24-8-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
78"Reach72,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
KO Squad MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1719
If they lose-24→ 1671
If they win+12→ 1705
If they lose-12→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michael OliveiraSiyar Bahadurzada
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Oliveira72%
Siyar Bahadurzada 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Oliveira a 72% favorite over Siyar Bahadurzada in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1693), separated by just 2 points.
Michael Oliveira enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Siyar Bahadurzada enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Michael Oliveira finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Siyar Bahadurzada 83%.
Michael Oliveira carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.