Combat Edge Intelligence

Mridul Saikia vs Wilson Reis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record28-14-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'4"
68.5"Reach65,0"
126 lbsWeight145 lbs
Dojang MMA and Fitness StudioTeamBrazilian Jiu-Jitsu United

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mridul SaikiaNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Wilson ReisNow 1653
If they win+12→ 1665
If they lose-12→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.83
TBD
Strike accuracy
30%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
5.15
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
47%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Mridul SaikiaWilson Reis
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (56%)
Submission
13 (46%)
0 (0%)
Decision
15 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Mridul Saikia70%
Wilson Reis 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Mridul Saikia a 70% favorite over Wilson Reis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wilson Reis's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1653), separated by just 4 points.

Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mridul Saikia finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.

Mridul Saikia carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.