Combat Edge Intelligence

Murtazali Magomedov vs Shane Burgos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-0-0Record16-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
70"Reach75"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Murtazali MagomedovNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
Shane BurgosNow 1733
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.57
Sig. strikes / min
7.40
41%
Strike accuracy
52%
1.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.78
84%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
0.43
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
0%
Takedown defense
92%
0
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Murtazali MagomedovShane Burgos
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
6 (55%)
Submission
5 (31%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Murtazali Magomedov67%
Shane Burgos 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Murtazali Magomedov a 67% favorite over Shane Burgos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1733), separated by just 1 points.

Murtazali Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Murtazali Magomedov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shane Burgos 63%.

Shane Burgos carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.