Myktybek Orolbai vs Nicolas Dalby
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-2-1Record24-6-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
74"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
Uluu KyrgyzTeamRumble Sports
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714
If they win+12→ 1741
If they lose-12→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Myktybek OrolbaiNicolas Dalby
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Myktybek Orolbai63%
Nicolas Dalby 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Myktybek Orolbai a 63% favorite over Nicolas Dalby in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1729), separated by just 1 points.
Myktybek Orolbai enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Myktybek Orolbai finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Dalby 46%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.