Myktybek Orolbai vs Patrick Cote
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-2-1Record23-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
74"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Uluu KyrgyzTeamBTT Canada
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714
If they win+12→ 1740
If they lose-12→ 1716
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Myktybek OrolbaiPatrick Cote
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Myktybek Orolbai70%
Patrick Cote 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Myktybek Orolbai a 70% favorite over Patrick Cote in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1728), separated by just 2 points.
Myktybek Orolbai enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Myktybek Orolbai finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cote 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.