Combat Edge Intelligence

Nathan Fletcher vs Russell Doane

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record17-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70"Reach70,5"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamHawaii Elite MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nathan FletcherNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Russell DoaneNow 1654
If they win+12→ 1666
If they lose-12→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
1.75
60%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.68
58%
Strike defense
54%
3.37
Takedown avg.
2.11
31%
Takedown accuracy
46%
50%
Takedown defense
53%
0.67
Submission avg.
0.77

Trajectory

Nathan FletcherRussell Doane
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
7 (64%)
Submission
6 (35%)
2 (18%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathan Fletcher63%
Russell Doane 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathan Fletcher a 63% favorite over Russell Doane in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1654), separated by just 0 points.

Nathan Fletcher enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Russell Doane enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nathan Fletcher finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Russell Doane 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.