Combat Edge Intelligence

Nathaniel Wood vs Vinicius Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-6-0Record24-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
69"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamSombra Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nathaniel WoodNow 1733
If they win+12→ 1745
If they lose-12→ 1721
Vinicius OliveiraNow 1739
If they win+16→ 1755
If they lose-16→ 1723

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.74
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
52%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
54%
Strike defense
57%
1.46
Takedown avg.
1.45
50%
Takedown accuracy
47%
73%
Takedown defense
70%
0.52
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Nathaniel WoodVinicius Oliveira
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (35%)
KO/TKO
17 (71%)
5 (22%)
Submission
2 (8%)
10 (43%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Nathaniel Wood and Vinicius Oliveira within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1733 vs 1739), separated by just 6 points.

Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Nathaniel Wood finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Oliveira 79%.

Nathaniel Wood and Vinicius Oliveira share 1 common opponent: Andre Fili.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Andre Fili
WinTKO · 2026