Combat Edge Intelligence

Oumar Sy vs Ricardo Arona

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Oumar Sy
fr

Oumar Sy

12-2-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1697Good
Ricardo Arona
br

Ricardo Arona

“The Brazilian Tiger”

14-5-0Light HeavyweightBC

1697Good

Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height5'11"
83"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight200 lbs
Bulgarian Top TeamTeamBrazilian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Oumar SyNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681
Ricardo AronaNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
70%
Strike defense
TBD
2.73
Takedown avg.
TBD
37%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.39
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Oumar SyRicardo Arona
165017002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
4 (33%)
Submission
2 (14%)
3 (25%)
Decision
9 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Oumar Sy70%
Ricardo Arona 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Oumar Sy a 70% favorite over Ricardo Arona in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1697), separated by just 0 points.

Oumar Sy finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Arona 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.