Combat Edge Intelligence

Oumar Sy vs Thiago Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Oumar Sy
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Oumar Sy

12-2-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1697Good

Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record22-13-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
83"Reach 76"
205 lbsWeight241 lbs
Bulgarian Top TeamTeamTeam Marreta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Oumar SyNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681
Thiago SantosNow 1694
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
3.72
48%
Strike accuracy
48%
1.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
70%
Strike defense
54%
2.73
Takedown avg.
0.88
37%
Takedown accuracy
33%
100%
Takedown defense
66%
0.39
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Oumar SyThiago Santos
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
15 (68%)
4 (33%)
Submission
1 (5%)
3 (25%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Oumar Sy78%
Thiago Santos 22%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Oumar Sy a 78% favorite over Thiago Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1694), separated by just 3 points.

Thiago Santos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Oumar Sy finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Santos 73%.

Oumar Sy carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.