Ovince St. Preux vs Rafael Tobias
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
27-18-0Record14-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
80″Reach74"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Knoxville MMATeamChute Boxe Monstro
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ovince St. PreuxRafael Tobias
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Tobias71%
Ovince St. Preux 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Tobias a 71% favorite over Ovince St. Preux in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ovince St. Preux's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1675), separated by just 3 points.
Ovince St. Preux finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Tobias 79%.
Ovince St. Preux carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.