Payton Talbott vs Yanis Ghemmouri
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0Record12-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"Reach69,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Reno Academy of CombatTeamTeam Ezbiri
What's at stake
Payton Talbott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Yanis Ghemmouri carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1754
If they lose-20→ 1722
If they win+20→ 1665
If they lose-12→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Payton TalbottYanis Ghemmouri
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Payton Talbott87%
Yanis Ghemmouri 13%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Payton Talbott a 87% favorite over Yanis Ghemmouri in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Payton Talbott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1742 to 1645, a 97-point edge.
Payton Talbott enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Yanis Ghemmouri enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Payton Talbott finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Yanis Ghemmouri 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.