Combat Edge Intelligence

Preston Parsons vs Victor Valenzuela

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
71"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevate MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Preston ParsonsNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Victor ValenzuelaNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
1.28
52%
Strike accuracy
100%
3.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
55%
Strike defense
0%
3.53
Takedown avg.
0
37%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
0%
2.35
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Preston ParsonsVictor Valenzuela
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
9 (82%)
Submission
2 (14%)
2 (18%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Victor Valenzuela60%
Preston Parsons 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Victor Valenzuela a 60% favorite over Preston Parsons in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1613), separated by just 3 points.

Preston Parsons enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Victor Valenzuela enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Preston Parsons finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Victor Valenzuela 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.