Combat Edge Intelligence

Rafael Fiziev vs Rongzhu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rongzhu
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Rongzhu

27-6-0LightweightUFC

1734Good

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record27-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
71"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamEnbo Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rafael FizievNow 1730
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714
RongzhuNow 1734
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.71
Sig. strikes / min
6.02
53%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.44
50%
Strike defense
53%
0.83
Takedown avg.
1.35
67%
Takedown accuracy
63%
90%
Takedown defense
84%
0
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Rafael FizievRongzhu
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
15 (58%)
1 (7%)
Submission
6 (23%)
4 (29%)
Decision
5 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Rafael Fiziev62%
Rongzhu 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Fiziev a 62% favorite over Rongzhu in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rongzhu's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1734), separated by just 4 points.

Rongzhu enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Rafael Fiziev finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Rongzhu 81%.

Rafael Fiziev and Rongzhu share 1 common opponent: Ignacio Bahamondes.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Ignacio Bahamondes
LossSubmission · 2022