Combat Edge Intelligence

Raffael Cerqueira vs Ty Flores

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ty Flores
us

Ty Flores

“Big Medicine”

14-5-0Light HeavyweightTUFF

1634Solid

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
CTJ Judo & Jiu-JitsuTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Raffael CerqueiraNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Ty FloresNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.61
Sig. strikes / min
2
45%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.80
37%
Strike defense
25%
0
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
9%
40%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Raffael CerqueiraTy Flores
1600165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
2 (18%)
Submission
3 (21%)
1 (9%)
Decision
9 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Raffael Cerqueira and Ty Flores within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1634), separated by just 6 points.

Raffael Cerqueira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Raffael Cerqueira finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Ty Flores 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.