Combat Edge Intelligence

Robert Valentin vs Rodrigo Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record6-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight Move AcademyTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Robert ValentinNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Rodrigo GracieNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.30
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
56%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
33%
Strike defense
TBD
0.59
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.78
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Robert ValentinRodrigo Gracie
1550160020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
7 (64%)
Submission
2 (33%)
1 (9%)
Decision
4 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Valentin63%
Rodrigo Gracie 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Valentin a 63% favorite over Rodrigo Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rodrigo Gracie's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1593), separated by just 1 points.

Robert Valentin finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Gracie 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.