Combat Edge Intelligence

Robert Valentin vs Ryan Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record5-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'9"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight Move AcademyTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Robert ValentinNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Ryan GracieNow 1591
If they win+24→ 1615
If they lose-24→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.30
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
56%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
33%
Strike defense
TBD
0.59
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.78
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Robert ValentinRyan Gracie
150015501600200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
7 (64%)
Submission
2 (40%)
1 (9%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Valentin56%
Ryan Gracie 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Valentin a 56% favorite over Ryan Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1591), separated by just 1 points.

Ryan Gracie enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Robert Valentin finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gracie 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.