Rodrigo Vargas vs Windri Patilima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record10-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'6"
71"ReachTBD
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
Mexican Pride GymTeamTCW Fighting Camp
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rodrigo VargasWindri Patilima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Windri Patilima60%
Rodrigo Vargas 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Windri Patilima a 60% favorite over Rodrigo Vargas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rodrigo Vargas's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1624), separated by just 1 points.
Rodrigo Vargas enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Windri Patilima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rodrigo Vargas finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Windri Patilima 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.