Combat Edge Intelligence

Ronnie Lawrence vs Shane Campbell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record24-8-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
68"Reach71,0"
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA Science AcademyTeamShaolin Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ronnie LawrenceNow 1636
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
Shane CampbellNow 1634
If they win+12→ 1646
If they lose-12→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.99
56%
Strike accuracy
60%
1.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.19
52%
Strike defense
55%
6.75
Takedown avg.
1.36
77%
Takedown accuracy
29%
45%
Takedown defense
82%
0.25
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ronnie LawrenceShane Campbell
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (25%)
4 (50%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronnie Lawrence63%
Shane Campbell 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronnie Lawrence a 63% favorite over Shane Campbell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1634), separated by just 2 points.

Ronnie Lawrence finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 63%.

Shane Campbell carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.