Combat Edge Intelligence

Stephen Regman vs Takashi Sato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
78,0"Reach73"
163 lbsWeight170 lbs
Killer BTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Stephen RegmanNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566
Takashi SatoNow 1579
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.41
Sig. strikes / min
2.21
60%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
24%
Strike defense
44%
3.52
Takedown avg.
0.76
100%
Takedown accuracy
38%
0%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Stephen RegmanTakashi Sato
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
1 (10%)
Submission
2 (13%)
2 (20%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Stephen Regman57%
Takashi Sato 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Stephen Regman a 57% favorite over Takashi Sato in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1579), separated by just 3 points.

Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Stephen Regman finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Takashi Sato 87%.

Stephen Regman carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.