Combat Edge Intelligence

Stewart Nicoll vs Takeru Uchida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record7-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
65"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Broz Martial ArtsTeamParaestra Matsudo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Stewart NicollNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Takeru UchidaNow 1600
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.63
Sig. strikes / min
0
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0
50%
Strike defense
0%
1.63
Takedown avg.
0
4%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
29%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
4.37

Trajectory

Stewart NicollTakeru Uchida
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (38%)
Submission
7 (100%)
1 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Stewart Nicoll and Takeru Uchida within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1600), separated by just 5 points.

Stewart Nicoll enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Stewart Nicoll finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Takeru Uchida 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.